Morning Minute: Bitcoin is headed for a rare consecutive quarterly loss



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GM!

Today’s most important news:

  • Major Cryptocurrency Prices Drop Over Weekend, Stocks Lag; BTC is stable at $60,000
  • BTC ETFs see $1.79 billion in outflows in a week, the third highest ever
  • Brian Armstrong responds to criticism of Coinbase app promoting gambling
  • Unlicensed cryptocurrency companies in Europe are facing problems ahead of the MiCa deadline on July 1
  • ANSEM’s value fell to $120 million after the weekend, and is now back to $80 million

πŸ“‰ Bitcoin is heading for a rare quarterly loss

Bitcoin It is trading at just under $60,000 and is on track for a rare consecutive quarterly loss.

It’s down nearly 12% this quarter after a 22% decline in the first quarter, which breaks the pattern of a historically strong second quarter, with the first quarter and half closing on Tuesday. The sell-off reached a low of $58,115 on June 26, a 20-month low, and the rebound since then has been shallow.

The reasons were fairly consistent:

  • Steady outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs ($1.79 billion more in last week)
  • A hawkish Fed under Kevin Warsh
  • The dollar is at its highest level in 12 months
  • Capital is shifting to semiconductor and memory chip stocks riding the AI ​​boom.

The damage is deeper in altcoins. ETH fell about 25% during the quarter and 47% over the year, and over the past week Dogecoin, XRP, and HYPE all recorded double-digit losses. Solana held up a little better, but is still down 43% on the year.

The back-to-back losses are fueling a larger debate about whether Bitcoin’s four-year cycle has broken, given that 2026’s red will push the usual three-up-one-down rhythm into a second straight stretch down. But the bulls have their own blueprint.

Each previous time Bitcoin closed two red candles for six months in a row, in 2018 and 2022, a three-year uptrend followed. The second six-month red candle of this stretch closes in two days.

Pair that with a Fear and Greed reading of 18, deep in extreme fear, and the setup looks like either the beginning of a deeper collapse or the kind of capitulation that has characterized past lows. Let’s hope it’s the latter…

🌎 Total crypto and markets

Corporate Treasuries and ETFs

Meme Coin Tracker

  • Meme leaders He was red per week Doge -13%, Shape -10%, Baby -18%, Bingo -8%, Trump -12%, Punk -9%
  • Ansem It ranged from ~$1 million to $120 million over the weekend in one of the biggest moves seen in months
  • Wayne (+38x), Solangelis (+90%) And Alon (+80%) drove the engines on Solana
  • Prime movers Includes delirium (+30%) and POD (+22%).

πŸ“ˆ Countless numbers in the market today

πŸ’° Token tracking, airdrop and protocol

🚚 What happens in NFTs?

  • NFT leaders It was mostly stable over the weekend. BANK +1% at 32.5 ETH, BAYC +1% at 8.85 ETH, Pudgy -1% at 4.5 ETH; Hypurr +10% at 228 HYPE
  • Crepes (+77%) and Chambers (+20%) Leading top movers
  • Several villains Sold for multiples above ground This weekend, including a 3D jacket for 278 ETH, a VR one for 135 ETH, and a pilot for 100 ETH

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