Is altcoin season here? Why hasn’t the OI of $21 billion been mentioned yet


According to Glassnode’s Altcoin Cycle Signal, altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin (BTC) overall, and altcoin season is finally here. Interestingly, the denominator effect, which is usually responsible for the strength seen in altcoins, is also strong this time.

Alternative currency cycle signalAlternative currency cycle signal
Source: Glassnode Studio

This indicator is important because altcoins can sometimes appear stronger when the price of Bitcoin falls or moves sideways. In fact, this does not necessarily reflect increased demand for altcoins.

The cryptocurrency community still supports Bitcoin

However, the cryptocurrency community offered a different perspective on the current situation. According to one analyst, Bitcoin’s open interest (OI) reached $21.11 billion, which is much higher than altcoins’ open interest of $16.36 billion.

This suggests that traders are still focused on Bitcoin and that there may be room for further expansion in the altcoin market as a whole.

The open interest of altcoins (excluding ETH) has surpassed the open interest of BitcoinThe open interest of altcoins (excluding ETH) has surpassed the open interest of Bitcoin
Source: TED/X

Historically, altcoin rallies often peak when an altcoin’s OI exceeds Bitcoin Hey. Pointing out this, the analyst He added,

For now, it looks like the alternatives still have room to run. But once Alts OI > Bitcoin OI, you have to start looking for the way out.

In fact, according to Zach Bandel, Head of Grayscale Research, the current price of Bitcoin may be so Offering an attractive long-term purchasing opportunity.

He said,

In my view, the current Bitcoin $BTC price will prove to be a good entry point or an exceptional entry point, depending on three variables: Fed rate hikes, the CLARITY Act, and the strategy’s balance sheet.

What lies ahead?

The analyst also notes that Bitcoin held support around $58,000, suggesting that selling pressure is fading and the market bottom may be starting to form. While Bitcoin is not in a “sell short” valuation, it could hit a cyclical bottom if these three catalysts continue to develop positively.

However, this broad rotation has not yet been fully realized, as Bitcoin continues to dominate capital flows, limiting liquidity across the broader altcoin market.

Overall, the market is still in a Bitcoin-led phase rather than a full altcoin cycle, as long as the Altcoin Index stays below 75.


Final summary

  • Bitcoin’s open interest reached $21.11 billion, which is much higher than the altcoins’ OI interest of $16.36 billion.
  • The analyst says that the current price of Bitcoin may provide an attractive buying opportunity in the long term.



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