Could a relief march come?

Santiment has only recorded XRP downtrends twice in the past two years, and both cases were followed by notable price jumps.

Retail sentiment towards XRP has fallen to its third worst level in two years, according to new social data from Santiment.

According to the analytics firm, with the token losing about 63% of its value over the past nine months, conversations around it have become increasingly bearish. However, for patient traders waiting for a contrarian signal, Santiment says this kind of extreme pessimism has often preceded a short-term price rebound.

Social emotions reach extreme fear zone

Santiment, which tracks millions of social media posts daily using natural language processing to classify comments as bullish or bearish, It has been marked The latest mood in a post on X on April 13, where he noted that the ratio of positive to negative XRP comments on platforms like X and Reddit had dropped into what it called FUD territory.

It was only the third time in the past two years that bearish sentiment had reached this level, she said, and accordingly, the platform’s analysts reiterated a long-held line, which is that prices often move in the opposite direction to crowd sentiment.

“Historically, when bullish commentary is replaced by this level of bearish commentary, the likelihood of a comfortable rally rises dramatically,” the Santiment team wrote.

They also added that given how retail traders turned their backs on XRP after it fell nearly 63% in nine months, the current bearish environment was ripe for patient investors to take advantage.

Santiment provided examples of two instances when extreme negative readings were followed by notable rises: February and October 2025. In the first case, the company recorded 0.96 bullish comments for every 1.00 bearish comments, while in the second, it said there were 1.01 bullish comments for every 1.00 bearish comments. Either way, the Ripple token bounced back soon after, with analysts in particular describing the post-February recovery as “significant.”

Mixed bag for XRP

The sentiment reading background is a token that has had a traumatic effect. After XRP set an all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025, it spent the following months declining, even falling to nearly $1.20 sometime in February 2026.

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At the time of writing, the #4 token by market cap is trading at around $1.33, down over 5% in the past 30 days and falling within a 7-day range of $1.30 to $1.38. It has also fallen about 40% over the past year and remains about 64% below its all-time high.

However, on the ETF front, XRP spot funds posted their strongest single day of inflows since February 6 on April 10. Pull in More than $9 million, according to data from SoSoValue. Total net flows for last week were approximately $11.75 million, which reflects the prevailing trend Included Several days of zero reported activity.

On the technical side, chart watchers like Crypto Tony are watching the $1.39 level as a short-term line in the sand, suggesting that XRP must reclaim this level to change its downward trend in the short term. Meanwhile, fellow analyst CRYPTOWZRD noted that a bounce from the $1.32 support, if coupled with a meaningful move for Bitcoin, could lead to a bigger rally.