XRP It could trade at around $1.24 on July 1, 2026, according to a new forecast created by ChatGPTwhich represents an increase of approximately 9% from the current price range.
This prediction comes as XRP faces a litmus test between rising institutional demand and weak price momentum.
while Cryptocurrency Still more than 50% below its January 2026 peak of $2.34, record XRP ETF inflows and continued whale accumulation have bolstered the fundamental outlook for the asset.
As of press time, Cryptocurrency It was trading at $1.15 after rising nearly 1.6% in the past day while the token was up more than 5% on the weekly timeline.
XRP price prediction
Based on current market conditions, ChatGPT’s base case forecast places the price of XRP at $1.24 by July 1, with an expected trading range of between $1.18 and $1.32 under normal market conditions.
The model assigned a 50% probability to a base case scenario where XRP remains within a range between $1.18 and $1.32. The bearish scenario, which carries a 30% probability, sees XRP falling to between $0.98 and $1.10 if support levels fail and broader weakness in the cryptocurrency market continues.
Meanwhile, a bullish scenario with a 20% probability predicts that the price of XRP will reach between $1.40 and $1.65, provided that buyers succeed in reclaiming key resistance levels and institutional demand continues to accelerate.
Forecasts indicate that XRP is likely to stage a modest rebound in the coming weeks rather than quickly return to its January high of $2.34.
One of the main factors behind ChatGPT’s forecast is strong institutional demand. Since its launch in November 2025, the US spot XRP ETFs It attracted approximately $1.41 billion in net inflows and now owns approximately 904.8 million XRP, equivalent to about 0.9% of the circulating supply.
Demand accelerated in May, when ETFs recorded inflows of $118.29 million, including a record $60.5 million during the week ending May 15.
Despite this buying pressure, XRP continues to trade near $1.15, suggesting that broader weakness in the cryptocurrency market has offset much of the positive impact from institutional accumulation.
The gauges on the chain remain supportive as well. More than 25 million XRP were recently withdrawn from exchanges, while the number of whale wallets has risen to a record high of 332,230 addresses.
The combination of exchange outflows and high whale participation is often seen as a sign of long-term accumulation during periods of weak market sentiment.
Key XRP Price Levels to Watch
XRP’s near-term outlook hinges on several key price levels. Immediate support is located at $1.10, while $1.26 and $1.30 have become important resistance areas after previously serving as support.
A break above $1.45-$1.48 could pave the way for gains towards $1.51 and perhaps $1.67, making $1.10 support and $1.48 resistance the most important levels heading into July.
Another bullish factor is the high concentration of short positions. Shorts currently outnumber longs about 9 to 1, with an estimated $227 million in short liquidations placed above current prices.
If XRP breaks through resistance, forced short covering could accelerate gains.
