Highly anticipated SpaceX IPO This is now scheduled for June 12, 2026, with a target valuation of around $2 trillion, which is set for Founder Mode. Elon Musk As the world’s first trillionaire.
As the listing approaches, investors are closely monitoring whether… Tesla (Nasdaq: TSLA), Musk’s most profitable company, could also benefit from SpaceX’s debut.
After all, Musk’s announcements, from posts on X to formal strategy updates, have historically sparked sharp moves at Tesla. In fact, at the time of writing, May 21, Tesla shares were already reacting to the announcement, rising more than 1% in pre-market trading.
However, while the excitement around the IPO is undeniable, SpaceX’s extreme valuation remains controversial, and it’s nearly impossible to know where Tesla shares could land on June 12.
However, general forecasts based on analyst comments, current price action, and ongoing stock market trends are possible. Accordingly, we requested OpenAI pioneering artificial intelligence mode, ChatGPTTo predict the target price for Tesla stock after the SpaceX IPO.
ChatGPT predicts Tesla stock price after SpaceX IPO
As part of its analysis, ChatGPT presented three different scenarios. In line with the general market hype, the least likely scenario, the AI said, is bearish. This outcome would see Tesla shares fall 20% and trade in the $330 to $350 range. For this to happen, significant capital would have to leave Tesla for SpaceX, with the market generally unhappy with the launch.
A strong 15% bullish case is likely, which could lead to a 15%-30% rally. As a result, Tesla shares will trade between $480 and $540, driven by the “mania” that is fueling Musk’s entire trading ecosystem.
However, the most likely scenario, which ChatGPT assigns a 45% probability, would end with the automaker’s stock falling 5% or rising 10%. This means the stock will fall somewhere in the $395-$460 area. Oddly enough, this scenario assumes some capital turnover at SpaceX and a mixed public reaction.
Pressed for a narrower conclusion and providing a specific target price, the chatbot argued that Tesla stock would likely hit $445 on June 12. Explaining this number, the algorithm said it presented a “first order morale shock” scenario, which is enough to price in IPO hype and lead to a 6-7% upside but not enough to fulfill the dreams of the most optimistic investors.
Tesla price forecast
Overall, TSLA’s reaction to SpaceX’s IPO will depend on whether investor enthusiasm translates into sustained demand or a brief hype-driven rally, which normalization will likely follow.
Machine learning algorithms say the former is much more likely, as a 6-7% rise is the most the market can hope for. However, ChatGPT still sees a 35% chance of a massive 30% rally, meaning investors could be in for a surprise next month.
Featured image via Shutterstock
