Elon Musk says SpaceX’s revenue could reach nearly $1 trillion a year by 2030, and likely more in 2031. That prediction is much higher than those of the bankers who took his company public.
Musk made the claim on X (Twitter) over the weekend, days after SpaceX completed the largest stock market debut in history. Its insurance companies make up only a small portion of that number.
SpaceX’s revenue accounts face a sharp uptick
SpaceX reported revenue of $18.7 billion for 2025, according to its initial public offering Deposit. Revenues rose from $14 billion in 2024, a growth of about 33%.
Revenues hit nearly $10 billion in 2023, so the path is steep but not vertical.
However, achieving $1 trillion by 2030 would require a 53-fold jump within five years. No company this size has ever grown so fast.
Musk framed the target live on his platform.
I think SpaceX may be able to achieve revenues of about $1 trillion in 2030 He said In a job.
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He added that he would be surprised if revenues fell below $1 trillion in 2031.
Wall Street’s expectations are much lower than that
Morgan Stanley, lead underwriter, Estimates SpaceX’s revenue is approaching $330 billion in 2030. The bank is modeling $160 billion as early as 2028.
Goldman Sachs relies more on artificial intelligence, but still far less than Musk. Both banks assume years of flawless execution.
Optimism has reached the company’s side Historic first public offeringpushing its valuation to over $2 trillion. That session produced a series of Surprising facts about the IPOIncluding Musk retaining 82.4% of the voting power.
Artificial intelligence betting holds predictions
Both predictions rely on AI infrastructure rather than missiles. Morgan Stanley believes that artificial intelligence will generate approximately $190 billion in its total revenues in 2030.
However, that unit earned only $3.2 billion in 2025 while losing $6.4 billion. You’ll need to outperform the world’s leading AI labs to make this happen.
for now, Starlink satellite network The business holds, generating $11.4 billion last year. The number of subscribers reached 10.3 million by March 2026, up from 8.9 million the previous year.
Meanwhile, SpaceX still posted a record number Sharp quarterly loss In early 2026.
Musk has repeatedly missed his timelines while ultimately achieving results.
Investors are weighing in Stock space in play You must now decide which style to carry.
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