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- The volume of stablecoins topped $28 trillion in 2025, surpassing Visa and MasterCard combined, yet founders and venture capital remain concentrated in the US and Europe.
- The real demand is in emerging markets, where stablecoins are a financial lifeline: Nigeria has more than 26 million cryptocurrency users, and stablecoins in Argentina buy the first half of all exchange transactions.
- Funds backing founders in Lagos, São Paulo and Manila will now reap the biggest stablecoin returns in the next decade, says Alex Witt, general partner at Verda Ventures.
Most assumed Stable coin The opportunity is concentrated where the capital is, in New York, San Francisco and London. The largest stablecoin markets on Earth are located in countries where most venture capitalists have never held a meeting.
In 2025, stable transaction volume It exceeded $28 trillion globallyBetter than Visa and MasterCard combined. Most founders and capital remain based in the US and Europe, where stablecoins remain an institutional product. This layer is already becoming contested: BlackRock, JPMorgan, and Fidelity are moving into tokenized money markets and institutional settlement, leaving much less room for venture-backed startups than the narrative suggests.
The real demand is happening elsewhere. Nigeria alone is finished 26 million Cryptocurrency users, more than one in eight adults, 59% of whom hold USDT. Across Latin America, stablecoin inflows represent 7.7% of regional GDP according to International Monetary Fund data. The question is no longer whether emerging markets matter or not. The question is why many venture capital portfolios still behave such that there is no data.
The stablecoin volume map does not match the founder map
Stablescape, which tracks more than 3,000 stablecoin and cryptocurrency fintech companies globally, found that 1,300 of them are based in the US. Emerging markets across Latin America, Sub-Saharan Africa, Southeast Asia, and the Middle East account for just 32% of companies tracked, despite generating the majority of real-world stablecoin volume.
In Argentina, stablecoin purchases are offset More than half of all exchange transactionsDriven by triple-digit inflation and currency controls that send the dollar up a bureaucratic obstacle course. Brazil registered $318.8 billion in cryptocurrency flows Until mid-2025, with more than 90% flowing through stablecoins. Sub-Saharan Africa It grew by 52% year-on-yearand captured more than $205 billion in value on-chain. The founders who are building the infrastructure for this demand remain concentrated in cities where there was no problem before.
In emerging markets, stablecoins are the product
The Western cryptocurrency narrative portrays stablecoins as infrastructure for more sophisticated use cases, programmable settlement rails, DeFi yield, and enterprise treasury management. In those markets, stablecoins improve systems that already work. In Lagos, Buenos Aires and Istanbul, the starting point is different. For millions of people, stablecoins are the first reliable way to hold dollar value outside of banks that fail, currencies that collapse, or brokers that can cut off access overnight.
Stablecoin payments between businesses across Latin America rose from less than $100 million per month in early 2023 to more than $6 billion per month by mid-2025, a 60-fold increase in 30 months driven by cross-border trade rather than retail speculation. Consumer stablecoin products carry additional burdens: compliance costs that grow with the number of users, fragile local banking relationships, and unit economics that rarely survive small retail transfers. Yellow Card, which operates in 34 countries, has exited its consumer business entirely to focus on business-to-business transactions. Bitso has built its enduring position in the Mexico-U.S. corridor through business payments flows, not through retail wallets. In each case, the advantage was proximity: founders who understood their lanes from the inside.
Why venture capital remains missing in stable emerging markets
In 2024, 30 venture capital firms accounted for 75% of the total capital raised by US funds. These funds have the overall theoretical validity of the stablecoin. They have the wrong geography.
Being familiar with the Sand Hill Road box model of San Francisco founders provides almost no indication of what a Lagos, Buenos Aires, or Manila founder might be able to implement. The counterargument is that fintech in emerging markets lacks viable exits. The data disagrees. OPay seeks to obtain $4 billion valuation Ahead of a potential IPO built on African payments infrastructure, and Modern Treasury acquired Beama startup that provides cross-border liquidity for stablecoins, for $40 million. The exit market is shaping up around the same corridors that Western funds have been slow to support.
Organizational attractiveness multiplies focus. the The law of genius and Mika Meaningfully, institutional capital follows clarity wherever it takes it. What this framework misses is that US regulatory clarity is about making stablecoins safe for compliance departments. The size in Nigeria and Argentina requires no additional regulatory clarity, outperforms the US market by almost every measure, and is served by companies financed by regional networks with which Western funds have no connection.
Stablecoin corridors that will produce the next generation of winners
received the Philippines $39.6 billion in personal transfers in 2025where average conversion costs range from 5 to 7% versus the stablecoin conversion cost which is measured in fractions of a percentage. Nigeria’s Investment and Securities Act 2025 has placed virtual assets under formal supervision, with licensing regimes in place across South Africa, Botswana, Mauritius and Namibia, and regulatory sandboxes now in place across East and West Africa.
These corridors will produce stablecoin companies in the next decade in the same way that Brazil produced Nubank: by building for the customer, the existing system was discarded, with local knowledge that outside entrants spent years failing to replicate. El Dorado, a stablecoin super app in Latin America, surpassed 600,000 users and 3 million transactions in 2025, reaching US$2.7 million through 12x annual growth, and becoming the most downloaded cryptocurrency app in Venezuela. Multicoin Capital and Coinbase Ventures backed it after the market had already validated the model. Scale first, local verification second, global capital third, and this sequence will be repeated across every major emerging market corridor over the next five years.
Stablecoin Investment Theory Most of the money is missing
The stablecoin market has actually split into two parts. One side is building the enterprise infrastructure for Western regulated institutions: treasury coordination, compliance tools, and settlement bars. The other builds access to the dollar for billions of people within unstable monetary systems, where stablecoins are not a crypto product but a financial lifeline. One side controls most of the investment capital. The other already has most of the demand.
The entry and exit layer, where 57% of companies are locally founded in emerging markets, along with regional remittance networks and local currency issuers across the Middle East, North Africa, Latin America, and Southeast Asia, remain underfunded compared to the demand below them. Companies like Kulipa, which is building stablecoin payment infrastructure for African markets, and Mural Pay, which focuses on cross-border B2B payments throughout Latin America, represent a category that seems small by Western venture capital standards until it becomes impossible to ignore the corridor they serve.
The next generation of stablecoin companies will come from founders in Lagos, São Paulo, and Manila. Funds that build these relationships today will generate the best returns in stablecoins over the next decade. Those who wait for companies to appear on Crunchbase will pay the same premium that investors have paid in every emerging markets cycle before this one.
The map is already drawn while the folder already exists. The only thing missing is where venture capital is looking.
Disclosure
The views and opinions expressed by the author are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment or other advice.
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